Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The New York Mets (1-2) visit the Miami Marlins (2-1) on Monday to begin a three-game series, with the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET from loanDepot park. The Mets are listed as -168 favorites, while the underdog Marlins have +141 odds on the moneyline.

David Peterson takes the mound for New York while Cal Quantrill is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Mets odds to win: -168

Marlins odds to win: +141

Spread: Mets -1.5

Total: 8 runs

Mets vs. Marlins Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, March 31, 2025

Time: 6:40 p.m. ET

TV: FDSFL and SNY

Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

Mets and Marlins Betting Trends (2024)

The Mets won 58 of the 95 games they were the moneyline favorite last season (61.1%).

New York had a record of 14-5 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -168 or shorter last year (73.7%).

The Marlins were underdogs 145 times last season and won 58, or 40%, of those games.

Miami had a record of 30-47, a 39% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +141 or more by bookmakers last season.

The Mets combined with their opponents to go over the total 93 times last season for a 93-77-5 record against the over/under.

The Marlins and their opponents hit the over in 86 of their 162 games with a total last season.

Mets Stats & Insights (2024)

Last season the Mets were the seventh-highest scoring team in MLB play, averaging 4.7 runs per game (768 total).

New York averaged 1.3 home runs per game to rank sixth in the majors with 207 total home runs last season.

The Mets ranked 12th in the majors with a .246 batting average.

The team struck out 8.5 times per game to rank 16th in the majors.

The Mets pitching staff was fourth in MLB last season with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

New York’s 3.96 team ERA ranked 15th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Marlins Stats & Insights (2024)

The Marlins scored 637 runs (just 3.9 per game) last season, which ranked 27th in MLB.

Miami’s 150 home runs ranked 27th in MLB last season.

The Marlins’ .244 batting average ranked 14th in the majors last season.

Miami had the 18th-ranked strikeouts per game rate (8.7) among MLB offenses.

The Marlins struck out 8.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 25th in MLB.

Miami had the 29th-ranked ERA (4.73) in the majors last season.

Mets Key Players to Watch (2024 Stats)

Peterson will make his first start of the season for the Mets.

Juan Soto hit 41 home runs last season, drove in 109 runs and posted a .288 batting average.

Francisco Lindor hit .273 with an OBP of .344 and a slugging percentage of .500.

Pete Alonso finished last season with 34 home runs, 88 RBI and a batting average of .240.

Brandon Nimmo hit .224 with an OBP of .327, and a slugging percentage of .399.

Marlins Key Players to Watch (2024 Stats)

Quantrill will make his first start of the season for the Marlins.

Otto Lopez hit .270 last season with 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks.

Xavier Edwards had 12 doubles, five triples, a home run and 33 walks while hitting .328.

Jonah Bride hit .276 a season ago with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 30 walks.

Nick Fortes hit .227 with 16 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks.

Mets and Marlins Injuries

Mets: Jeff McNeil: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Ronny Mauricio: 10 Day IL (Knee), Francisco Álvarez: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Sean Manaea: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Frankie Montás: 15 Day IL (Lat), Paul Blackburn: 15 Day IL (Knee), Drew Smith: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Christian Scott: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nick Madrigal: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Marlins: Jesús Sánchez: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Connor Norby: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Jesus Tinoco: 15 Day IL (The miami marlins placed rhp jesús tinoco on the 15-day injured list.), Edward Cabrera: 15 Day IL (Finger), Declan Cronin: 15 Day IL (Hip), Ryan Weathers: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Braxton Garrett: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew Nardi: 60 Day IL (Back)