The Storm Prediction Center’s outlook shows a Level 2 to 3 risk of severe storms in North and East Texas on Sunday
Storm Prediction Center
A broad area of low pressure will move across the middle of the country on Sunday, sending a weak cold front through much of North and East Texas by late Sunday afternoon and evening.
As the front interacts with a very humid and unstable environment, scattered thunderstorms will form, some of which could become severe. Storm chances will be very low in and around San Antonio, at around 10% or less, but chances will rise as you move north and east across the state. Here’s what we can expect.
Far Northeast Texas will be under the greatest risk of severe thunderstorms on Sunday. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 3 of 5 risk of severe storms for much of Northeast Texas, including Texarkana, Longview, and Nacogdoches
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This region will likely see widely scattered thunderstorms between 4 and 10 p.m. Sunday. Storms are expected to intensify rapidly, with many capable of very large hail, damaging winds, and even an isolated tornado or two.
Shown is the future radar at 7 p.m. Sunday, showing scattered severe thunderstorms moving across parts of North and East Texas.
WeatherBell
Farther south and west, severe storms will become a bit less widespread. A Level 2 of 5 risk of severe storms has been issued for several Texas cities, such as Dallas, Tyler, Waco, and Lufkin. Here, storm coverage will not be quite as widespread, so many areas will stay dry. But any storms that do form would intensify quickly and produce large hail.
Storm chances will decrease more as you move into Central Texas. Austin is under a Level 1 of 5 risk of severe weather. Here, the odds of a storm developing are much lower, but if one is able to form, it could still produce large hail.
Farther south in San Antonio, we have an outside chance of an isolated shower or storm Sunday morning, but overall rain chances are only about 10%. The vast majority of us will stay dry.
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Shown are the expected low and high temperatures across Central and South Texas on Sunday.
Pivotal Weather
Otherwise, we’re expecting a warm and relatively muggy day. The Alamo City will start with morning low temps hovering in the mid- to upper 60s under mostly cloudy skies. Temps will only rise slowly through the morning, only reaching the mid-70s by noon.
During the afternoon, skies will begin to clear, and the sunshine will allow temps to rise more quickly. High temperatures are expected to top out between 85 and 88 degrees, about 10 degrees above average for late March. A warm evening is expected too, as temps won’t drop below 80 degrees until after 8 p.m.
A weak cold front will move through South Texas on Monday, but it will only drop our temperatures by a couple of degrees. High temps on Monday will still reach the low to mid-80s, and low temperatures by Tuesday morning will cool off into the upper 50s.
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Tuesday afternoon will stay warm, as highs reach the low to mid-80s once again. By Wednesday, the warmest air of the week will arrive, sending high temperatures to around 90 degrees. An isolated shower or storm is also possible, but chances will stay at around 10%.
A more significant weather system is expected by the end of the week and into next weekend. A few scattered storms are possible Friday, becoming more widespread as a cold front moves through the region over the weekend.
Stay with expressnews.com/weather for daily forecast updates.
