Severe storms will lead to flooding threats throughout the course of the coming days as an active storm track stalled over the Mid-South.(WMC First Alert Weather Team)
ALERT DAY WEDNESDAY: The beginning of an active period will come along with a strong surge of Gulf air Wednesday. Ahead of any storms, expect highs in the 80s with strong winds – gusts to 35-50 mph. Storms will erupt to our west through midday; moving toward the Mid-South through the late afternoon and early evening hours. Parameters for severe weather will be higher than in recent events and lead to the rare HIGH risk for severe weather for part of the Mid-South with all hazards of damaging wind, large hail and tornadoes. Timing impacts is a bit tricky – we expect storms to move into the Mid-South by 3-4 PM, generally ending through 2-3 AM Thursday morning. While the severe threat may wane, the heavy rain threat will not – creating flooding concerns for Thursday morning’s commute.
Please, take the time to review your severe weather action plans with your family before you head to work and school. Know what to do and where to go in the event severe storms impact your area. Take a few seconds for yourself; remember, calm minds make sound decisions. Stay weather aware & we’ll keep you advised.
- A Tornado Watch is in effect for Tippah County, Lafayette County, Panola County, Tate County,and Quitman County
- A Tornado Warning was issued for Hardeman County, Benton County, Marshall County, and McNairy County until 3:30 a.m .
ALERT DAY THURSDAY: Flooding becomes the primary concern after the first severe threat though another risk for strong storms will be possible as the front wavers back northward through the course of the day. A rare HIGH risk for flooding may lead to frequent, possibly, significant flooding instances near and north of I-40. With the front stalled nearby or overhead, expect a large spread in temperatures and conditions. Near the front, cooler 60s to near 70 with periods of heavy rain; south of the front, warm and muggy – well into the 70s. Near this transition zone, occasional strong to severe storms will move from west to east along the boundary.
EXTENDED FORECAST: Amid the rain threats, flooding risks emerge as the days wear on. The front shifts farther north through Friday – allowing for highs to surge into the 80s. While it’s a reprieve, it’s brief. A potent push of cooler air will push the front to the south and clear the board. Before that, another round of strong to severe storms late Saturday after widespread 4-8″ of rain through the end of the week; a zone of 8-12″ with localized higher amounts that will lead river, overland and flash flooding – in some instances, could be significant. Next week looks quieter and cooler through the early part of the week.
Patrick Ellis
Action News 5 First Alert Meteorologist
Facebook, X, Instagram, BlueSky: @PatrickEllisWx
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